Multi-Agent Portfolio

# MAP Daily — 2026-09-15

## Snapshot
- Valor total: $9,698.57; P&L del día: $-36.07; retorno desde inception: -3.01%.
- Cash: $1,851.47; se mantiene buffer por encima del mínimo, sin full-deploy.

## Mercado
- SPY $757.39; -0.66% en 5 ruedas. MAP queda -3.0143% desde inception vs SPY -2.053%.
- Tape selectivo: calidad y energía sostienen interés, pero hay castigo a breakdowns, extensiones y rumores.

## Acciones ejecutadas
- TRIM AMZN: 0.5 acción, aproximadamente $124.21. Se reduce riesgo por breakdown confirmado y riesgo legal en publicidad; no se reemplaza la venta.
- Resto del libro: HOLD. No hubo BUY/ADD aprobados por Risk.

## Contexto para mañana
- Prioridad: reparación técnica de GOOGL/JPM/LLY y confirmación con volumen en V, XOM y BRK-B.
- AMZN queda trim-first hasta recuperar estructura y aclarar el riesgo regulatorio.

# MAP Debate — 2026-09-15

## Método
- Cinco roles, dos rondas: Sentiment, Quant, Fundamental, Risk veto y PM.
- Fórmula: CS = 0.40 Quant + 0.35 Fundamental + 0.25 Sentiment.

## Lectura ejecutiva
- Sentiment: selectivo y ligeramente defensivo; energía, pagos y mega-cap de calidad conservan atención, sin habilitar chase.
- Quant: MSFT y V son las mejores estructuras relativas; GOOGL/JPM requieren confirmación; AMZN y varios candidatos siguen dañados o extendidos.
- Fundamental: GOOGL, MSFT, JPM, V, BRK-B y LLY mantienen respaldo de negocio; AMZN sigue fuerte pero con cautela; ZYME y scouts son especulativos/verificación-dependientes.
- Risk: veto absoluto a nuevas compras en todo el universo evaluado por concentración, breakdown, extensión, riesgo binario o falta de métricas.

## Scorecard holdings
- **MSFT** — CS 0.7490 (Quant 0.78 / Fundamental 0.82 / Sentiment 0.60) → **PASS** · VETO: Position is already 12.04% of the $9,698.57 book versus a 12% target; pullback is healthy but day -1.64% and volume ratio 0.846 do not justify adding or chasing.
- **V** — CS 0.7190 (Quant 0.73 / Fundamental 0.77 / Sentiment 0.63) → **PASS** · VETO: Technical setup is relatively strong, but position is already 8.44% and the current pullback has volume ratio 0.850 with resistance 385.57 above; add only after orderly confirmation, not on an unconfirmed move.
- **GOOGL** — CS 0.6820 (Quant 0.57 / Fundamental 0.84 / Sentiment 0.64) → **PASS** · VETO: Position is 9.28% versus a 9% target; technical structure is chop with price 1.82% below 20d resistance and volume ratio 0.885. Wait for a volume-backed reclaim of 351.3742.
- **JPM** — CS 0.6460 (Quant 0.58 / Fundamental 0.79 / Sentiment 0.55) → **PASS** · VETO: Position is 13.12% versus a 13% target and price is near 20d support in chop; 1.872 volume ratio has not produced a confirmed reversal. No add until reversal confirmation.
- **XOM** — CS 0.6340 (Quant 0.58 / Fundamental 0.67 / Sentiment 0.67) → **PASS** · VETO: Extended at resistance: +5.39% over 5d, +3.895% above MA20, RSI 64.93, price 0.077% below resistance 169.45, and volume ratio 0.877 without breakout confirmation.
- **LLY** — CS 0.6030 (Quant 0.50 / Fundamental 0.78 / Sentiment 0.52) → **PASS** · VETO: Oversold is not confirmation: RSI 17.49, price 3.612% below MA20, and volume ratio 0.734 indicate an unrepaired tape. Healthcare growth thesis remains intact, but do not average down before repair.
- **BRK-B** — CS 0.5995 (Quant 0.48 / Fundamental 0.75 / Sentiment 0.58) → **PASS** · VETO: Weak-volume breakout risk: RSI 75.08, price only 0.06% above resistance 516.45, and volume ratio 0.943. Require sustained clearance with materially stronger volume before adding.
- **AMZN** — CS 0.4390 (Quant 0.20 / Fundamental 0.74 / Sentiment 0.40) → **PASS** · VETO: Confirmed 20d breakdown, -2.019% day, -3.327% over 5d, price 0.465% below 20d support, and unresolved FTC ad-overcharge allegation make new exposure unacceptable despite strong reported fundamentals.
- **ZYME** — CS 0.4380 (Quant 0.32 / Fundamental 0.60 / Sentiment 0.40) → **PASS** · VETO: Speculative post-approval thesis lacks commercialization verification; price is 7.196% below MA20, 5d performance is -7.328%, and volume ratio is 0.605 with no reversal or breakout.

## Decisión PM
- No BUY/ADD. Ejecutar únicamente TRIM parcial de AMZN por riesgo asimétrico; el cash liberado queda disponible.

# MAP Decisions — 2026-09-15

## Decisión
- **TRIM AMZN**: 0.5 acción a $248.42, notional aproximado $124.21. Motivo: breakdown confirmado, -3.327% en 5 días y riesgo legal sobre publicidad; se conserva la tesis AWS/ads, pero se reduce exposición.
- **HOLD** MSFT, GOOGL, JPM, LLY, BRK-B, XOM, V y ZYME.
- **Sin BUY/ADD**: el veto Risk bloquea entradas; cash queda en $1,851.47.

## Scorecard
- **MSFT** — CS 0.7490 (Quant 0.78 / Fundamental 0.82 / Sentiment 0.60) → **PASS** · VETO: Position is already 12.04% of the $9,698.57 book versus a 12% target; pullback is healthy but day -1.64% and volume ratio 0.846 do not justify adding or chasing.
- **V** — CS 0.7190 (Quant 0.73 / Fundamental 0.77 / Sentiment 0.63) → **PASS** · VETO: Technical setup is relatively strong, but position is already 8.44% and the current pullback has volume ratio 0.850 with resistance 385.57 above; add only after orderly confirmation, not on an unconfirmed move.
- **GOOGL** — CS 0.6820 (Quant 0.57 / Fundamental 0.84 / Sentiment 0.64) → **PASS** · VETO: Position is 9.28% versus a 9% target; technical structure is chop with price 1.82% below 20d resistance and volume ratio 0.885. Wait for a volume-backed reclaim of 351.3742.
- **JPM** — CS 0.6460 (Quant 0.58 / Fundamental 0.79 / Sentiment 0.55) → **PASS** · VETO: Position is 13.12% versus a 13% target and price is near 20d support in chop; 1.872 volume ratio has not produced a confirmed reversal. No add until reversal confirmation.
- **XOM** — CS 0.6340 (Quant 0.58 / Fundamental 0.67 / Sentiment 0.67) → **PASS** · VETO: Extended at resistance: +5.39% over 5d, +3.895% above MA20, RSI 64.93, price 0.077% below resistance 169.45, and volume ratio 0.877 without breakout confirmation.
- **LLY** — CS 0.6030 (Quant 0.50 / Fundamental 0.78 / Sentiment 0.52) → **PASS** · VETO: Oversold is not confirmation: RSI 17.49, price 3.612% below MA20, and volume ratio 0.734 indicate an unrepaired tape. Healthcare growth thesis remains intact, but do not average down before repair.
- **BRK-B** — CS 0.5995 (Quant 0.48 / Fundamental 0.75 / Sentiment 0.58) → **PASS** · VETO: Weak-volume breakout risk: RSI 75.08, price only 0.06% above resistance 516.45, and volume ratio 0.943. Require sustained clearance with materially stronger volume before adding.
- **AMZN** — CS 0.4390 (Quant 0.20 / Fundamental 0.74 / Sentiment 0.40) → **PASS** · VETO: Confirmed 20d breakdown, -2.019% day, -3.327% over 5d, price 0.465% below 20d support, and unresolved FTC ad-overcharge allegation make new exposure unacceptable despite strong reported fundamentals.
- **ZYME** — CS 0.4380 (Quant 0.32 / Fundamental 0.60 / Sentiment 0.40) → **PASS** · VETO: Speculative post-approval thesis lacks commercialization verification; price is 7.196% below MA20, 5d performance is -7.328%, and volume ratio is 0.605 with no reversal or breakout.